Popis
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
Parametry
| autor | nassim nicholas taleb |
| vazba | brožovaná |
| jazyk | anglicky |
| počet stran | 444 |
| rok vydání | 2008 |
| isbn | 978-0-141-03459-1 |
Výrobce Penguin Books Ltd
